
关于新冠肺炎的一切,如何发生、传播和感染,病死率计算
应用介绍
最近一直在关注这场突然爆发的新型冠状病毒肺炎,在如此严峻的疫情防控形势下,回形针的作品依然散发着理工科人冷静的光芒,本文所有内容转载自回形针。
Part 1 感染
这场突然爆发的肺炎是如何发生和传播的?
Part 2 传播
人传人到底是怎么回事?
视频中所提到的论文资料:
- https://attachments-cdn.shimo.im/JlIBm6o7qjcdsjzI/Clinical_features_of_patients_infected_with_2019_novel_coronavirus_in_Wuhan_China.pdf
- https://attachments-cdn.shimo.im/cZfwoX4jkHcfJXRv/A_familial_cluster_of_pneumonia_associated_with_the_2019_novel_coronavirus_indicating_person-to-person_transmission-_a_study_of_a_family_cluster.pdf
- https://attachments-cdn.shimo.im/JOm3iAXLW88vQgNC/Early_Transmission_Dynamics_in_Wuhan_China_of_Novel_Coronavirus_Infected_Pneumonia.pdf
Part 3 口罩
如何科学的戴口罩?
视频中所提到的论文资料:
- https://attachments-cdn.shimo.im/pMW9cEJFFqcxx6kT/The_Size_and_Concentration_of_Droplets_Generated_by_Coughing_in_Human_Subjects.pdf
- https://attachments-cdn.shimo.im/56uQz4KBRdgdA50v/SARS%E7%97%85%E6%AF%92%E5%9C%A8%E5%A4%96%E7%95%8C%E7%8E%AF%E5%A2%83%E7%89%A9%E5%93%81%E4%B8%AD%E7%94%9F%E5%AD%98%E5%92%8C%E6%8A%B5%E6%8A%97%E8%83%BD%E5%8A%9B%E7%9A%84%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6_%E6%9D%8E%E6%95%AC%E4%BA%91.pdf
Part 4 勇气
死亡率和传播速度到底有多高?
其实也没那么吓人。
如果我们被这个吓到,吓到要锁死来自武汉的邻居,吓到要攻击陌生的求助者,吓到要以谣言的名义让大家不敢说话。那才是真的吓人。
人类的赞歌是勇气的赞歌,赞美所有还在认真工作的人们,希望新的一年,我们都能有更多勇气。
参考资料:
1、MSF Canada. “HIV/AIDS”
https://www.doctorswithoutborders.ca/hiv-aids
2、Huang, Chaolin, et al. “Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China.” The Lancet (2020).
DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30183-5
3、Chan, Jasper Fuk-Woo, et al. “A familial cluster of pneumonia associated with the 2019 novel coronavirus indicating person-to-person transmission: a study of a family cluster.” The Lancet (2020).
DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30154-9
4、Li, Qun, et al. “Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia.” The New England Journal of Medicine (2020).
DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2001316
5、央视新闻《【新闻1+1】钟南山肯定新型冠状病毒肺炎人传人》
6、Yang, Shinhao, et al. “The size and concentration of droplets generated by coughing in human subjects.” Journal of Aerosol Medicine 20.4 (2007).
DOI: 10.1089/jam.2007.0610
7、Radonovich, Lewis J., et al. “N95 respirators vs medical masks for preventing influenza among health care personnel: a randomized clinical trial.” Jama 322.9 (2019).
DOI: 10.1001/jama.2019.11645
8、中国疾病预防控制中心《中国疾病预防控制中心关于印发中国流感疫苗预防接种技术指南(2019-2020)的通知》
http://www.chinacdc.cn/jkzt/crb/bl/lxxgm/jszl_2251/201910/W020191017382174982602.pdf
10、中华人民共和国国家统计局·国家数据·交通事故死亡
http://data.stats.gov.cn/search.htm?s=%E4%BA%A4%E9%80%9A%E4%BA%8B%E6%95%85%E6%AD%BB%E4%BA%A1